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Prediction and thoughts of the Wenchuan large earthquake

Geng Qingguo

Strategic Study of CAE 2009, Volume 11, Issue 6, Pages 123-128

Abstract:

According to many years of earthquake prediction exploring work basedon analysis of drought -earthquake relations and ordered strong earthquake activities and the methodthe Sichuan Abazhou area, and revealed the main points of the "Urgent advice to enhance strong earthquakeshort-term/imminent monitoring and analysis prediction contingency work for the Sichuan-Gansu-Qinghai-Shaanxi

Keywords： Wenchuan Large Earthquake prediction drought-earthquake relations strong earthquake activities order

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The phenomena based on the before Wenchuan Earthquake, the characteristic of large scale and deep layeron dynamic force of earthquake occurrence has been recognized

Xu Shaoxie

Strategic Study of CAE 2009, Volume 11, Issue 6, Pages 16-18

Abstract:

The characteristic of large scale and deep layer on dynamic force ofWenchuan Earthquake occurrence has been recognized.particle movement cannot be easy released, it will make stress concentric and become a location of largeearthquake occurrence.on information of large scale and deep layer.

Keywords： Wenchuan Earthquake the characteristic of large scale and deep layer on dynamic force of earthquakeoccurrence earthquake prediction

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Statistic and review of China’s earthquake prediction score

Gao Jianguo

Strategic Study of CAE 2009, Volume 11, Issue 6, Pages 129-131

Abstract:

Earthquake is difficult to forecast, but it doesn't happen withoutsigns or unknown,our country has the case summary for every large earthquake.Statistics clearly showmiddle -term, short -term or imminent earthquakes in the last 40 years.Therefore, success in Chinese earthquakeprediction could not be denied only because of failure in Wenchuan Earthquake prediction.China'searthquake prediction score should be positive,and Wenchuan Earthquake is not a "strange shock&

Keywords： earthquake earthquake prediction nearly 30 years’earthquake prediction statistics in china

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Sub-layer Movement in the Large-scale Stratum

Xu Shaoxie

Strategic Study of CAE 2006, Volume 8, Issue 6, Pages 14-22

Abstract:

It was reported that a new find on sub-layer movement in the large-scale stratum had been observedA direct evidence of movement, synchronal movement in vertical direction, in the as large-scale stratumStratum scale can be large as up to several thousand kilometers, as in a continent dimension.certain relationship between events with strong tremble recoded by Golmud Station in November, 2001 and earthquakeThat information is very important for earthquake prediction research and geodynamic recognition.

Keywords： sub-layer movement in the large-scale stratum events with strong tremble earthquake prediction

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Pondering over the scientific thinking of earthquake prediction from the miss report of Wenchuan Earthquake—re-discussingLi Siguang’s earthquake prediction thought

Zhao Wenjin

Strategic Study of CAE 2009, Volume 11, Issue 6, Pages 4-15

Abstract:

According to the experience and problems of seismic monitoring and earthquakeprediction for many years in China, it was discussed the earthquake mechanism, preliminary methods forprediction research and the mechanism and miss report of Wenchuan Earthquake, analyzed prediction precursorof short-term and impending earthquake, seismometry application limitation and ground stress transferand track, and put forward 9 suggestions for future earthquake prediction.

Keywords： Wenchuan Earthquake earthquake prediction ground stress Li Siguang

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The scientific faith that earthquake is predictable should be insisted—the successful prediction of threestrong aftershocks of Wenchuan Earthquake

Wang Chengmin

Strategic Study of CAE 2009, Volume 11, Issue 6, Pages 107-110

Abstract: Earthquake.The specialists in Chinese Earthquake Prediction Consultation Committee started the aftershockprediction research after the earthquake to support emergency rescue and disaster relief with practicalaction.From May 15 to August 15, the committee formally reported prediction results for 3 times andthe three strong aftershocks, i.e.M 6.0 earthquake on May 18 in Jiangyou, M 6.4 earthquake on May 25should think over the fact that the prediction of all three aftershocks was correct without any miss

Keywords： Wenchuan Earthquake aftershock of Wenchuan Earthquake earthquake short -impending prediction

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Review on the prediction before the Wenchuan Earthquake

Guo Zengjian,Guo Anning

Strategic Study of CAE 2009, Volume 11, Issue 6, Pages 166-168

Abstract: : justify;">According to the index of solar activity we predicted in 2006 that during 2007 ~2008 an earthquakeM >7 will possibly occur in segment between Tianshui and Kangding.Based on the flood-earthquake chainalong the latitude circle of 30°,we predicted in the end of 2007 that an earthquake M6 ~7 will possibly

Keywords： earthquake prediction valley of solar activity flood-earthquake chain

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The dawn of successful prediction of major earthquakes

Li Ping and Yang Mei’e

Strategic Study of CAE 2009, Volume 11, Issue 6, Pages 19-27

Abstract: recent 20 years, however, some seismologists abroad have taken a disappointed and pessimistic view to earthquakeprediction because of several failures.They suggest that the efforts should turn toward other fields, such as identification of building’s earthquake-proofinfluence some Chinese researchers of the seismological community who attempted to give up efforts for earthquakeprediction.

Keywords： Wenchuan Earthquake strong earthquake prediction microseism generating fault

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Earthquakes in the north block of Tibet-Plateau and retrospect of prediction for Wenchuan M8.0 Earthquake

Men Kepei

Strategic Study of CAE 2009, Volume 11, Issue 6, Pages 82-88

Abstract: According to the information prediction theory of Weng Wenbo and self-organization network technology, we try to explore the practical method for strong earthquake prediction with Chinese characteristics, and conceive strong earthquake with magnitude 7 informational network structure.The results show that strong earthquake and strong earthquake chain can be predicted.This method has a unique effect on mid-and-long term prediction for strong earthquake.

Keywords： the north block of Tibet Plateau informational orderly network structure the great Wenchuan Earthquake strong earthquake prediction

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Design and realization of a remote monitoring and diagnosis and prediction system for large rotating

Shaohong WANG, Tao CHEN, Jianghong SUN

Frontiers of Mechanical Engineering 2010, Volume 5, Issue 2, Pages 165-170 doi: 10.1007/s11465-009-0090-1

Abstract: Traditional on-site fault diagnosis means cannot meet the needs of large rotating machinery for its performanceThe designed remote monitoring and diagnosis and prediction system for large rotating machinery integratesThe system can make further implementation of equipment prediction technology research based on conditionThe system monitors real-time condition of the equipment and achieves early fault prediction with great

Keywords： large rotating machinery remote monitoring fault diagnosis prediction system

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Trend prediction technology of condition maintenance for large water injection units

Xiaoli XU, Sanpeng DENG

Frontiers of Mechanical Engineering 2010, Volume 5, Issue 2, Pages 171-175 doi: 10.1007/s11465-009-0091-0

Abstract: Trend prediction technology is the key technology to achieve condition-based maintenance of mechanicalLarge-sized water injection units are key equipment in oilfields.To ensure the normal operation of units and save maintenance costs, trend prediction technology is studiedThe main methods of the technology are given, the trend prediction method based on neural network isThe industrial site verification shows that the proposed trend prediction technology can reflect the

Keywords： water injection units condition-based maintenance trend prediction

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Technically feasible approach to earthquake prediction

Liu Defu,Kang Chunli

Strategic Study of CAE 2009, Volume 11, Issue 6, Pages 159-165

Abstract:

Earthquake prediction is an undertaking of public welfare.But earthquakescannot be successfully predicted at present due to technological reasons.Earthquake prediction shouldbe studied earnestly to adapt the demand of society for earthquake prediction at present.In order tostudy the possiblity of predicting the Wenchuan M8.0 Earthquake occurred on May 12,2008, based on theearthquake information itsself, this paper has suggesed a kind of numerical modeling method for predicting

Keywords： earthquake OLR numerical modeling predicting

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Features of seismic hazard in large dam projects and strong motion monitoring of large dams

Martin WIELAND,

Frontiers of Structural and Civil Engineering 2010, Volume 4, Issue 1, Pages 56-64 doi: 10.1007/s11709-010-0005-6

Abstract: Earthquakes can affect large dam projects in many different ways.The May 12, 2008 Wenchuan earthquake has damaged 1803 dams and reservoirs, and 403 hydropower plantsThe earthquake behaviors of the Sefid Rud, Zipingpu and Shapai dams, which, in the past, have experiencedFinally, the need for strong motion instrumentation of large dams is discussed.It is proposed that major dams with large damage potential, dams located in areas of high seismicity,

Keywords： dam concrete face rockfill dam strong motion instrumentation reservoir-triggered seismicity Wenchuan earthquake

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Liquefaction prediction using support vector machine model based on cone penetration data

Pijush SAMUI

Frontiers of Structural and Civil Engineering 2013, Volume 7, Issue 1, Pages 72-82 doi: 10.1007/s11709-013-0185-y

Abstract: A support vector machine (SVM) model has been developed for the prediction of liquefaction susceptibilityas a classification problem, which is an imperative task in earthquake engineering.This paper examines the potential of SVM model in prediction of liquefaction using actual field conepenetration test (CPT) data from the 1999 Chi-Chi, Taiwan earthquake.For Chi-Chi earthquake, the model predicts with accuracy of 100%, and in the case of global data, SVM

Keywords： earthquake cone penetration test liquefaction support vector machine (SVM) prediction

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A systems view of the earthquake forecast

Li Shihui

Strategic Study of CAE 2009, Volume 11, Issue 6, Pages 132-137

Abstract: to use the principle and method of systems sciences to prove that the standpoint of the mainstream earthquakescientists is unscientific and unreasonable, namely, the earthquake can't be forecasted essentially

Keywords： earthquake forecast earthquake prediction complexity systems sciences complement each other of Chinese

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Title Author Date Type Operation

Prediction and thoughts of the Wenchuan large earthquake

Geng Qingguo

Journal Article

The phenomena based on the before Wenchuan Earthquake, the characteristic of large scale and deep layeron dynamic force of earthquake occurrence has been recognized

Xu Shaoxie

Journal Article

Statistic and review of China’s earthquake prediction score

Gao Jianguo

Journal Article

Sub-layer Movement in the Large-scale Stratum

Xu Shaoxie

Journal Article

Pondering over the scientific thinking of earthquake prediction from the miss report of Wenchuan Earthquake—re-discussingLi Siguang’s earthquake prediction thought

Zhao Wenjin

Journal Article

The scientific faith that earthquake is predictable should be insisted—the successful prediction of threestrong aftershocks of Wenchuan Earthquake

Wang Chengmin

Journal Article

Review on the prediction before the Wenchuan Earthquake

Guo Zengjian,Guo Anning

Journal Article

The dawn of successful prediction of major earthquakes

Li Ping and Yang Mei’e

Journal Article

Earthquakes in the north block of Tibet-Plateau and retrospect of prediction for Wenchuan M8.0 Earthquake